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Predictions for the 2024 US presidential election

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2024 US Presidential Election Prediction- Who will win the election?

Can you believe it’s already been four years? 2020 was a historic year for a variety of reasons. That year, Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump in the presidential election.

Now, we are approaching another historic moment. New York business tycoon Trump is about to compete against Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election . The latter is expected to become the first female president of the United States and the second black president of the United States after Barack Obama. Who will win this time?

Let’s jump into the expert predictions and put together your betting slip with the best odds at Stake Sportsbook .

2024 US Election Update

The 2024 presidential election is full of ups and downs and suspense. What are the latest insider information and progress in this landmark election?

Joe Biden withdraws from the race

Kamala Harris is the latest candidate of the Democratic Party , but it was not the case at the beginning. Previously, the current US President Joe Biden was the candidate of the Democratic Party. On June 21, 2024, the evergreen Democratic Party chose to withdraw from the election and recommended his running mate to take over.

Trump’s narrow escape

Former Republican President Donald Trump was shot and wounded during a campaign speech in Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, but fortunately, he only suffered an ear injury.

Running mate prediction

The candidates are as follows: The Republican running mate is JD Vance, an Ohio author and congressman. On the Democratic side, Harris has not announced her choice at the time of writing (July 30, 2024). Tim Walz, Mark Kelly, and Josh Shapiro are all popular candidates for running mate. It will take some time to determine the vice president, and only then will it be clear how this change will affect the political odds .

When is the 2024 US election?

The election is scheduled for November 5, 2024. It could take two weeks to count the votes. That means the final pick for the White House and the Electoral College’s choice might not be known until around December. After that, the president’s inauguration date would be January 20, 2025, unless it’s postponed.

Current Candidates and Historical Background

Donald Trump

The Republican candidate served as the 45th President of the United States for four years from 2017 to 2021. His political stance and his celebrity past as the host of the reality show “The Apprentice” have made him controversial.

His campaign has been more controversial this time, especially because of his multiple impeachments and his relationships with controversial figures, as well as his recent felony indictments and convictions. However, these have not affected the support of Trump’s die-hard fans. These fans are even more supportive of him than before.

Kamala Harris

As the current Vice President, Harris is well known to Americans and people around the world.

The former California senator is a brilliant lawyer who has been in public service since becoming San Francisco’s attorney general in 2004. She is of African-American and South Asian descent and advocates left-wing politics, which has made her popular with retirees, unions and civil liberties groups, in stark contrast to her Republican rivals.

Other party candidates

Jill Stein and Chase Oliver are the most prominent candidates. They represent the Green Party and the Libertarian Party respectively. Other popular independent candidates include Robert F. Kennedy JR, a well-known activist from the Kennedy family.

US election outlook and polls

It now looks like Donald Trump may beat Kamala Harris. Polls at the end of July showed the two with 48% and 46% support respectively, with Trump in the lead. These are early numbers in the campaign, and the situation will change in the next few months. However, at least these numbers also indicate how fierce the competition will be, especially in swing states such as Arizona and Georgia .

The popular candidates in each state?

As of July 29, 2024, the election situation in each state is as follows, including the candidates who are expected to win and the percentage of the vote they are leading.

state Likely Winning Candidate percentage
Arizona Trump (Republican) 5.5%
Florida Trump (Republican) 9%
Georgia Trump (Republican) 3.8%
Michigan Trump (Republican) 1%
Minnesota Harris (Democratic) 6.3%
Nevada Trump (Republican) 6%
North Carolina Trump (Republican) 3%
Pennsylvania Trump (Republican) 2.2%
Washington Harris (Democratic) 14.5%
Wisconsin Trump (Republican) 0.6%
Maine Harris (Democratic) 9%
New Hampshire Harris (Democratic) 4%
Virginia Harris (Democratic) 2.3%
Ohio Trump (Republican) 13%
Texas Trump (Republican) 13%
California Harris (Democratic) 7%

US Election Odds and Betting Tips

It is important to note that the current political odds and the political odds during elections can fluctuate.

Political betting is very similar to sports betting, but it is not a zero-sum game. The focus is definitely on the final winner , but there are other odds that are worth knowing. These odds may also have different betting values. For example, the winner of the popular vote may not end up as president. In 2016, Hillary won the popular vote but lost to Trump in the final. Because of this, we recommend that bettors pay attention to other odds, such as the winning party , to see if there are opportunities in other events.

However, the best tips and strategies for political betting are to put responsibility and player safety first. Stake.com offers a lot of guidance and resources, including the Stake Smart Betting and Responsible Betting Guides , to ensure players can bet more safely. In addition, there are many bonuses and betting promotions , and our VIP system will also help you. Check out our Stake VIP Club FAQ for more information and explore more member-only rewards you can win , such as cashback and reload bonuses!